BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Colo NESCO

Class: 8 Class Rank: 52 Conference: (8-18-0) Overall: (41-56-0) Overall Strength =   43.94

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Away    L    49.25  14  42    A  27 ( 48- 48) Ogden                   5.31    -33.31                      
  2 08/26/2011 Home    L    65.18  14  20    8  11 ( 59- 38) Ackley AGWSR           21.25    -27.25                      
  3 09/02/2011 Away    L    54.96   7  29    A  28 ( 61- 39) Lynnville-Sully        11.02    -33.02                      
  4 09/09/2011 Home    L    68.67  19  32    A  15 ( 62- 39) Grundy Center          24.73    -37.73                      
  5 09/16/2011 Home    L     9.88   0  56    A  41 ( 49- 48) Traer North Tama      -34.06    -21.94                      
  6 09/23/2011 Away    L    29.74   7  26    8  48 ( 34- 61) Rockford              -14.19     -4.81                      
  7 09/30/2011 Home    L    47.23   6  35    A  23 ( 54- 45) Mason City Newman       3.30    -32.30                      
  8 10/07/2011 Home    W *  42.99  14   6    8  56 ( 13- 77) Garwin GMG             -0.95      8.95                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    L    20.02   7  49    A  49 ( 29- 62) Greene North Butler   -23.92    -18.08                      
 10 08/17/2012 Home    L    11.41  30  46    8  63 ( 48- 44) Melcher-Dallas        -32.53     16.53                      
 11 08/24/2012 Away    L    25.23  14  49   ZZ  40 ( 35- 20) Adair-Casey           -18.71    -16.29                      
 12 08/31/2012 Home    W    73.03  46  22   ZZ  45 ( 19- 20) Blairsburg Northeast   29.09     -5.09                      
 13 09/07/2012 Away    W    56.51  66  14   ZZ  63 (  2- 35) Ankeny Christian       12.57     39.43                      
 14 09/14/2012 Away    W    76.45  58  28    8  51 ( 42- 48) Afton East Union       32.51     -2.51                      
 15 09/21/2012 Home    W    70.26  80  58    8  44 ( 58- 40) Lamoni                 26.32     -4.32                      
 16 09/28/2012 Away    W    85.50  73  14    8  64 ( 30- 51) Mormon Trail           41.56     17.44                      
 17 10/05/2012 Home    L    -2.53  44  87    8  53 ( 50- 51) Murray                -46.46      3.46                      
 18 10/12/2012 Away    W    57.94  58  31   ZZ  56 ( 19- 45) Des Moines Grandview   14.00     13.00                      
 19 10/24/2012 Away    W    46.91  58  42    8  63 ( 48- 44) Melcher-Dallas          2.97     13.03                      
 20 10/29/2012 Away    L    19.97  40  64    8  53 ( 50- 51) Murray                -23.96     -0.04                      
 21 08/23/2013 Away    L    22.91  26  34    8  63 ( 48- 44) Melcher-Dallas        -21.03     13.03  ND                  
 22 08/30/2013 Home    L    -6.27   6  69   ZZ  40 ( 35- 20) Adair-Casey           -50.21    -12.79                      
 23 09/06/2013 Away    L     8.52   0  44   ZZ  45 ( 19- 20) Blairsburg Northeast  -35.41     -8.59  ND                  
 24 09/13/2013 Home    W    55.01  60   6   ZZ  63 (  2- 35) Ankeny Christian       11.07     42.93                      
 25 09/20/2013 Home    W    52.95  30  20    8  51 ( 42- 48) Afton East Union        9.02      0.98                      
 26 09/27/2013 Away    L    -4.25  12  68    8  44 ( 58- 40) Lamoni                -48.18     -7.82                      
 27 10/04/2013 Home    L    -5.00  18  46    8  64 ( 30- 51) Mormon Trail          -48.93     20.93                      
 28 10/11/2013 Away    L    10.97  18  51    8  53 ( 50- 51) Murray                -32.96     -0.04                      
 29 10/18/2013 Home    L    10.44  37  54   ZZ  56 ( 19- 45) Des Moines Grandview  -33.50     16.50                      
 30 08/29/2014 Home    L     3.41  22  46    8  63 ( 48- 44) Melcher-Dallas        -40.53     16.53                      
 31 09/05/2014 Away    W    77.52  61  36   ZZ  45 ( 19- 20) Blairsburg Northeast   33.59     -8.59                      
 32 09/12/2014 Home    W *  57.73  70  34    8  65 ( 31- 62) Tama Meskwaki          13.79     22.21                      
 33 09/19/2014 Away    W    63.26  50  27    8  55 ( 22- 65) Dunkerton              19.32      3.68                      
 34 09/26/2014 Home    W    58.40  62   8    8  66 ( 16- 66) Thornburg Tri-County   14.46     39.54                      
 35 10/03/2014 Away    W    43.38  37   8   ZZ  61 (  4- 13) Des Moines Grand Vie   -0.56     29.56                      
 36 10/10/2014 Home    L    26.59   0  66    8   1 (112- 10) Don Bosco             -17.35    -48.65                      
 37 10/17/2014 Away    L    30.15  36  38    8  62 ( 27- 67) English Valleys       -13.79     11.79                      
 38 10/24/2014 Home    L *  45.05  20  38    8  22 ( 75- 31) Victor HLV              1.11    -19.11                      
 39 10/29/2014 Away    L   -21.09   0  52    8  63 ( 48- 44) Melcher-Dallas        -65.03     13.03                      
 40 08/21/2015 Home    W   114.19  82  16    8  45 ( 38- 38) Clarksville            70.25     -4.25   ND                 
 41 08/28/2015 Away    W    95.91  65   0    8  63 ( 48- 44) Melcher-Dallas         51.97     13.03   ND                 
 42 09/04/2015 Home    W    79.71  74  24   ZZ  55 ( 10- 31) Charter Oak-Ute        35.77     14.23   ND                 
 43 09/11/2015 Away    W *  44.22  39  20    8  65 ( 31- 62) Tama Meskwaki           0.29     18.71                      
 44 09/18/2015 Home    W    84.76  54   6    8  55 ( 22- 65) Dunkerton              40.82      7.18                      
 45 09/25/2015 Away    W    72.89  71   6    8  66 ( 16- 66) Thornburg Tri-County   28.96     36.04                      
 46 10/09/2015 Away    L    38.09   6  64    8   1 (112- 10) Don Bosco              -5.85    -52.15                      
 47 10/16/2015 Home    W   114.65  86   0    8  62 ( 27- 67) English Valleys        70.71     15.29                      
 48 10/23/2015 Away    L *  57.55   3  12    8  22 ( 75- 31) Victor HLV             13.61    -22.61                      
 49 10/28/2015 Away    W    88.53  43   7    A  53 ( 51- 41) Corydon Wayne          44.59     -8.59                      
 50 11/02/2015 Away    W    63.75  51  20    8  61 ( 44- 52) Moravia                19.81     11.19                      
 51 11/06/2015 Away    L    38.89   0  49    8   4 ( 92- 20) Newell-Fonda           -5.04    -43.96                      
 52 08/26/2016 Away    L    47.68  28  55    8  11 ( 59- 38) Ackley AGWSR            3.75    -30.75  ND                  
 53 09/02/2016 Away    L    48.62  34  59    8  14 ( 64- 35) Coon Rapids-Bayard      4.68    -29.68  ND                  
 54 09/09/2016 Home    W *  67.73  62  16    8  65 ( 31- 62) Tama Meskwaki          23.79     22.21                      
 55 09/16/2016 Away    W    78.91  76  28    8  63 ( 48- 44) Melcher-Dallas         34.97     13.03                      
 56 09/23/2016 Home    L    17.72  22  36    8  59 ( 48- 49) Bussey Twin Cedars    -26.21     12.21                      
 57 09/30/2016 Away    W    57.75  72  16    8  67 (  5- 49) Seymour SMU            13.81     42.19                      
 58 10/07/2016 Home    L *  52.05  38  49    8  22 ( 75- 31) Victor HLV              8.11    -19.11                      
 59 10/14/2016 Away    W    44.75  54  42    8  61 ( 44- 52) Moravia                 0.81     11.19                      
 60 10/21/2016 Home    W    80.40  76   0    8  66 ( 16- 66) Thornburg Tri-County   36.46     39.54                      
 61 08/25/2017 Home    L    42.18  20  49    8  11 ( 59- 38) Ackley AGWSR           -1.75    -27.25   ND                 
 62 09/01/2017 Home    W   102.12  76  44    8  14 ( 64- 35) Coon Rapids-Bayard     58.18    -26.18   ND                 
 63 09/08/2017 Away    W *  77.22  82  30    8  65 ( 31- 62) Tama Meskwaki          33.29     18.71                      
 64 09/15/2017 Home    W    89.41  80  18    8  63 ( 48- 44) Melcher-Dallas         45.47     16.53                      
 65 09/22/2017 Away    W    68.22  67  34    8  59 ( 48- 49) Bussey Twin Cedars     24.28      8.72                      
 66 09/29/2017 Home    W    59.25  67   6    8  67 (  5- 49) Seymour SMU            15.31     45.69                      
 67 10/06/2017 Away    L *  17.55  14  63    8  22 ( 75- 31) Victor HLV            -26.39    -22.61                      
 68 10/13/2017 Home    L    21.25  22  30    8  61 ( 44- 52) Moravia               -22.68     14.68                      
 69 10/20/2017 Away    W    13.89  34  28    8  66 ( 16- 66) Thornburg Tri-County  -30.04     36.04                      
 70 08/17/2018 Away    L *  15.55   6  57    8  22 ( 75- 31) Victor HLV            -28.39    -22.61   ND                 
 71 08/25/2018 Away    L    -1.35  22  61    8  58 ( 27- 66) Central City          -45.29      6.29  was 08/24 now 08/25 AND  ND
 72 08/31/2018 Home    L     9.90   0  48    8  31 ( 56- 44) Springville           -34.04    -13.96   ND                 
 73 09/07/2018 Home    L    23.72  20  28    8  59 ( 48- 49) Bussey Twin Cedars    -20.21     12.21                      
 74 09/14/2018 Away    L    40.68  36  70    8  11 ( 59- 38) Ackley AGWSR           -3.25    -30.75                      
 75 09/21/2018 Home    L *  12.12  20  42    8  57 ( 13- 25) Collins-Maxwell       -31.82      9.82                      
 76 09/28/2018 Home    W *  73.73  58   6    8  65 ( 31- 62) Tama Meskwaki          29.79     22.21                      
 77 10/05/2018 Away    L    18.91  22  34    8  63 ( 48- 44) Melcher-Dallas        -25.03     13.03                      
 78 10/12/2018 Home    L *  33.12  40  56    8  43 ( 20- 17) Baxter                -10.82     -5.18                      
 79 10/19/2018 Away    L *  50.01  14  56    8   3 ( 92- 23) Gladbrook-Reinbeck      6.07    -48.07                      
 80 08/23/2019 Home    L *  17.05  14  60    8  22 ( 75- 31) Victor HLV            -26.89    -19.11   ND                 
 81 08/30/2019 Home    L    -8.85   6  49    8  58 ( 27- 66) Central City          -52.79      9.79   ND                 
 82 09/06/2019 Away    L    45.33  21  50    8  12 ( 61- 39) Montezuma               1.39    -30.39   ND                 
 83 09/13/2019 Away    W    54.22  39  20    8  59 ( 48- 49) Bussey Twin Cedars     10.28      8.72                      
 84 09/20/2019 Home    L    28.18  21  64    8  11 ( 59- 38) Ackley AGWSR          -15.75    -27.25                      
 85 09/27/2019 Away    L *  28.62  43  52    8  57 ( 13- 25) Collins-Maxwell       -15.32      6.32                      
 86 10/04/2019 Away    W *  41.22  36  20    8  65 ( 31- 62) Tama Meskwaki          -2.71     18.71                      
 87 10/11/2019 Home    W    73.41  58  12    8  63 ( 48- 44) Melcher-Dallas         29.47     16.53                      
 88 10/18/2019 Away    L *  49.61  69  72    8  43 ( 20- 17) Baxter                  5.68     -8.68                      
 89 10/25/2019 Home    L *  56.51  14  46    8   3 ( 92- 23) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     12.57    -44.57                      
 90 08/28/2020 Home    L *  22.48   7  42    8  33 ( 48- 46) Marengo Iowa Valley   -21.46    -13.54                      
 91 09/04/2020 Away    W    48.89  49   8    8  66 ( 16- 66) Thornburg Tri-County    4.96     36.04  ND                  
 92 09/11/2020 Home    W *  38.12  34  30    8  57 ( 13- 25) Collins-Maxwell        -5.82      9.82                      
 93 09/18/2020 Away    L *  20.22  27  32    8  65 ( 31- 62) Tama Meskwaki         -23.71     18.71                      
 94 09/25/2020 Home    L *  39.05  42  66    8  22 ( 75- 31) Victor HLV             -4.89    -19.11                      
 95 10/02/2020 Away    L *  50.16  12  49    8   6 ( 83- 27) Brooklyn BGM            6.23    -43.23                      
 96 10/09/2020 Away    L *  39.61  61  74    8  43 ( 20- 17) Baxter                 -4.32     -8.68                      
 97 10/16/2020 Away    L *  23.55  21  64    8  22 ( 75- 31) Victor HLV            -20.39    -22.61                      
      Averages              43.94  36.4 37.0

Best game:  114.65 = 86 point win over North English English Valleys
Worst game: -21.09 = 52 point loss to Melcher-Dallas
Team stdev:  28.52